A review of estimated transmission parameters for the spread of avian influenza viruses

Publikation: Bidrag til tidsskriftTidsskriftartikelForskningfagfællebedømt

Dokumenter

  • Fulltext

    Forlagets udgivne version, 519 KB, PDF-dokument

Avian influenza poses an increasing problem in Europe and around the world. Simulation models are a useful tool to predict the spatiotemporal risk of avian influenza spread and evaluate appropriate control actions. To develop realistic simulation models, valid transmission parameters are critical. Here, we reviewed published estimates of the basic reproduction number (R0), the latent period and the infectious period by virus type, pathogenicity, species, study type and poultry flock unit. We found a large variation in the parameter estimates, with highest R0 estimates for H5N1 and H7N3 compared with other types; for low pathogenic avian influenza compared with high pathogenic avian influenza types; for ducks compared with other species; for estimates from field studies compared with experimental studies; and for within-flock estimates compared with between-flock estimates. Simulation models should reflect this observed variation so as to produce more reliable outputs and support decision-making. How to incorporate this information into simulation models remains a challenge.

OriginalsprogEngelsk
TidsskriftTransboundary and Emerging Diseases
Vol/bind69
Udgave nummer6
Sider (fra-til)3238-3246
ISSN1865-1674
DOI
StatusUdgivet - 2022

Bibliografisk note

Funding Information:
M. P. W. and C. K. were funded by Erasmus+ Staff Mobility program, grant number KA107‐2019‐007. C. K. was also funded by the ENIGMA project, a veterinary contingency project funded by the Danish Veterinary and Food Administration.

Publisher Copyright:
© 2022 The Authors. Transboundary and Emerging Diseases published by Wiley-VCH GmbH.

Antal downloads er baseret på statistik fra Google Scholar og www.ku.dk


Ingen data tilgængelig

ID: 319164684