Predicting weight loss success on a new Nordic diet: an untargeted multi-platform metabolomics and machine learning approach

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Background and aim: Results from randomized controlled trials indicate that no single diet performs better than other for all people living with obesity. Regardless of the diet plan, there is always large inter-individual variability in weight changes, with some individuals losing weight and some not losing or even gaining weight. This raises the possibility that, for different individuals, the optimal diet for successful weight loss may differ. The current study utilized machine learning to build a predictive model for successful weight loss in subjects with overweight or obesity on a New Nordic Diet (NND). Methods: Ninety-one subjects consumed an NND ad libitum for 26 weeks. Based on their weight loss, individuals were classified as responders (weight loss ≥5%, n = 46) or non-responders (weight loss <2%, n = 24). We used clinical baseline data combined with baseline urine and plasma untargeted metabolomics data from two different analytical platforms, resulting in a data set including 2,766 features, and employed symbolic regression (QLattice) to develop a predictive model for weight loss success. Results: There were no differences in clinical parameters at baseline between responders and non-responders, except age (47 ± 13 vs. 39 ± 11 years, respectively, p = 0.009). The final predictive model for weight loss contained adipic acid and argininic acid from urine (both metabolites were found at lower levels in responders) and generalized from the training (AUC 0.88) to the test set (AUC 0.81). Responders were also able to maintain a weight loss of 4.3% in a 12 month follow-up period. Conclusion: We identified a model containing two metabolites that were able to predict the likelihood of achieving a clinically significant weight loss on an ad libitum NND. This work demonstrates that models based on an untargeted multi-platform metabolomics approach can be used to optimize precision dietary treatment for obesity.

OriginalsprogEngelsk
Artikelnummer1191944
TidsskriftFrontiers in Nutrition
Vol/bind10
Antal sider12
ISSN2296-861X
DOI
StatusUdgivet - 2023

Bibliografisk note

Funding Information:
The study was funded by The Nordea Foundation Denmark, a PhD scholarship from the King Saud bin Abdulaziz University for Health Sciences via The Saudi Arabian Cultural Office, and Novo-Nordisk Foundation (NNF19OC0056246).

Funding Information:
The authors thank Sanne K. Poulsen and Thomas M. Larsen who were responsible of conducting the study at the Department of Nutrition, Exercise, and Sports, University of Copenhagen. The authors also thank Sarah Fleischer Ben Soltane for running the UPLC-MS/MS analysis needed to conduct the identifications.

Publisher Copyright:
Copyright © 2023 Pigsborg, Stentoft-Larsen, Demharter, Aldubayan, Trimigno, Khakimov, Engelsen, Astrup, Hjorth, Dragsted and Magkos.

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