Reduction in mobility and COVID-19 transmission

Publikation: Bidrag til tidsskrift › Tidsskriftartikel › Forskning › fagfællebedømt

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Reduction in mobility and COVID-19 transmission. / Nouvellet, Pierre; Bhatia, Sangeeta; Cori, Anne; Ainslie, Kylie E.C.; Baguelin, Marc; Bhatt, Samir; Boonyasiri, Adhiratha; Brazeau, Nicholas F.; Cattarino, Lorenzo; Cooper, Laura V.; Coupland, Helen; Cucunuba, Zulma M.; Cuomo-Dannenburg, Gina; Dighe, Amy; Djaafara, Bimandra A.; Dorigatti, Ilaria; Eales, Oliver D.; van Elsland, Sabine L.; Nascimento, Fabricia F.; FitzJohn, Richard G.; Gaythorpe, Katy A.M.; Geidelberg, Lily; Green, William D.; Hamlet, Arran; Hauck, Katharina; Hinsley, Wes; Imai, Natsuko; Jeffrey, Benjamin; Knock, Edward; Laydon, Daniel J.; Lees, John A.; Mangal, Tara; Mellan, Thomas A.; Nedjati-Gilani, Gemma; Parag, Kris V.; Pons-Salort, Margarita; Ragonnet-Cronin, Manon; Riley, Steven; Unwin, H. Juliette T.; Verity, Robert; Vollmer, Michaela A.C.; Volz, Erik; Walker, Patrick G.T.; Walters, Caroline E.; Wang, Haowei; Watson, Oliver J.; Whittaker, Charles; Whittles, Lilith K.; Xi, Xiaoyue; Ferguson, Neil M.

I: Nature Communications, Bind 12, Nr. 1, 1090, 2021.

Publikation: Bidrag til tidsskrift › Tidsskriftartikel › Forskning › fagfællebedømt

Harvard

Nouvellet, P, Bhatia, S, Cori, A, Ainslie, KEC, Baguelin, M, Bhatt, S, Boonyasiri, A, Brazeau, NF, Cattarino, L, Cooper, LV, Coupland, H, Cucunuba, ZM, Cuomo-Dannenburg, G, Dighe, A, Djaafara, BA, Dorigatti, I, Eales, OD, van Elsland, SL, Nascimento, FF, FitzJohn, RG, Gaythorpe, KAM, Geidelberg, L, Green, WD, Hamlet, A, Hauck, K, Hinsley, W, Imai, N, Jeffrey, B, Knock, E, Laydon, DJ, Lees, JA, Mangal, T, Mellan, TA, Nedjati-Gilani, G, Parag, KV, Pons-Salort, M, Ragonnet-Cronin, M, Riley, S, Unwin, HJT, Verity, R, Vollmer, MAC, Volz, E, Walker, PGT, Walters, CE, Wang, H, Watson, OJ, Whittaker, C, Whittles, LK, Xi, X & Ferguson, NM 2021, 'Reduction in mobility and COVID-19 transmission', Nature Communications, bind 12, nr. 1, 1090. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-21358-2

APA

Nouvellet, P., Bhatia, S., Cori, A., Ainslie, K. E. C., Baguelin, M., Bhatt, S., Boonyasiri, A., Brazeau, N. F., Cattarino, L., Cooper, L. V., Coupland, H., Cucunuba, Z. M., Cuomo-Dannenburg, G., Dighe, A., Djaafara, B. A., Dorigatti, I., Eales, O. D., van Elsland, S. L., Nascimento, F. F., ... Ferguson, N. M. (2021). Reduction in mobility and COVID-19 transmission. Nature Communications, 12(1), [1090]. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-21358-2

Vancouver

Nouvellet P, Bhatia S, Cori A, Ainslie KEC, Baguelin M, Bhatt S o.a. Reduction in mobility and COVID-19 transmission. Nature Communications. 2021;12(1). 1090. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-21358-2

Author

Nouvellet, Pierre ; Bhatia, Sangeeta ; Cori, Anne ; Ainslie, Kylie E.C. ; Baguelin, Marc ; Bhatt, Samir ; Boonyasiri, Adhiratha ; Brazeau, Nicholas F. ; Cattarino, Lorenzo ; Cooper, Laura V. ; Coupland, Helen ; Cucunuba, Zulma M. ; Cuomo-Dannenburg, Gina ; Dighe, Amy ; Djaafara, Bimandra A. ; Dorigatti, Ilaria ; Eales, Oliver D. ; van Elsland, Sabine L. ; Nascimento, Fabricia F. ; FitzJohn, Richard G. ; Gaythorpe, Katy A.M. ; Geidelberg, Lily ; Green, William D. ; Hamlet, Arran ; Hauck, Katharina ; Hinsley, Wes ; Imai, Natsuko ; Jeffrey, Benjamin ; Knock, Edward ; Laydon, Daniel J. ; Lees, John A. ; Mangal, Tara ; Mellan, Thomas A. ; Nedjati-Gilani, Gemma ; Parag, Kris V. ; Pons-Salort, Margarita ; Ragonnet-Cronin, Manon ; Riley, Steven ; Unwin, H. Juliette T. ; Verity, Robert ; Vollmer, Michaela A.C. ; Volz, Erik ; Walker, Patrick G.T. ; Walters, Caroline E. ; Wang, Haowei ; Watson, Oliver J. ; Whittaker, Charles ; Whittles, Lilith K. ; Xi, Xiaoyue ; Ferguson, Neil M. / Reduction in mobility and COVID-19 transmission. I: Nature Communications. 2021 ; Bind 12, Nr. 1.

Bibtex

@article{4fda91ab2bdc41f3b21abe662966cb4e,

title = "Reduction in mobility and COVID-19 transmission",

abstract = "In response to the COVID-19 pandemic, countries have sought to control SARS-CoV-2 transmission by restricting population movement through social distancing interventions, thus reducing the number of contacts. Mobility data represent an important proxy measure of social distancing, and here, we characterise the relationship between transmission and mobility for 52 countries around the world. Transmission significantly decreased with the initial reduction in mobility in 73% of the countries analysed, but we found evidence of decoupling of transmission and mobility following the relaxation of strict control measures for 80% of countries. For the majority of countries, mobility explained a substantial proportion of the variation in transmissibility (median adjusted R-squared: 48%, interquartile range - IQR - across countries [27–77%]). Where a change in the relationship occurred, predictive ability decreased after the relaxation; from a median adjusted R-squared of 74% (IQR across countries [49–91%]) pre-relaxation, to a median adjusted R-squared of 30% (IQR across countries [12–48%]) post-relaxation. In countries with a clear relationship between mobility and transmission both before and after strict control measures were relaxed, mobility was associated with lower transmission rates after control measures were relaxed indicating that the beneficial effects of ongoing social distancing behaviours were substantial.",

author = "Pierre Nouvellet and Sangeeta Bhatia and Anne Cori and Ainslie, {Kylie E.C.} and Marc Baguelin and Samir Bhatt and Adhiratha Boonyasiri and Brazeau, {Nicholas F.} and Lorenzo Cattarino and Cooper, {Laura V.} and Helen Coupland and Cucunuba, {Zulma M.} and Gina Cuomo-Dannenburg and Amy Dighe and Djaafara, {Bimandra A.} and Ilaria Dorigatti and Eales, {Oliver D.} and {van Elsland}, {Sabine L.} and Nascimento, {Fabricia F.} and FitzJohn, {Richard G.} and Gaythorpe, {Katy A.M.} and Lily Geidelberg and Green, {William D.} and Arran Hamlet and Katharina Hauck and Wes Hinsley and Natsuko Imai and Benjamin Jeffrey and Edward Knock and Laydon, {Daniel J.} and Lees, {John A.} and Tara Mangal and Mellan, {Thomas A.} and Gemma Nedjati-Gilani and Parag, {Kris V.} and Margarita Pons-Salort and Manon Ragonnet-Cronin and Steven Riley and Unwin, {H. Juliette T.} and Robert Verity and Vollmer, {Michaela A.C.} and Erik Volz and Walker, {Patrick G.T.} and Walters, {Caroline E.} and Haowei Wang and Watson, {Oliver J.} and Charles Whittaker and Whittles, {Lilith K.} and Xiaoyue Xi and Ferguson, {Neil M.}",

note = "Publisher Copyright: {\textcopyright} 2021, The Author(s).",

year = "2021",

doi = "10.1038/s41467-021-21358-2",

language = "English",

volume = "12",

journal = "Nature Communications",

issn = "2041-1723",

publisher = "nature publishing group",

number = "1",

}

RIS

TY - JOUR

T1 - Reduction in mobility and COVID-19 transmission

AU - Nouvellet, Pierre

AU - Bhatia, Sangeeta

AU - Cori, Anne

AU - Ainslie, Kylie E.C.

AU - Baguelin, Marc

AU - Bhatt, Samir

AU - Boonyasiri, Adhiratha

AU - Brazeau, Nicholas F.

AU - Cattarino, Lorenzo

AU - Cooper, Laura V.

AU - Coupland, Helen

AU - Cucunuba, Zulma M.

AU - Cuomo-Dannenburg, Gina

AU - Dighe, Amy

AU - Djaafara, Bimandra A.

AU - Dorigatti, Ilaria

AU - Eales, Oliver D.

AU - van Elsland, Sabine L.

AU - Nascimento, Fabricia F.

AU - FitzJohn, Richard G.

AU - Gaythorpe, Katy A.M.

AU - Geidelberg, Lily

AU - Green, William D.

AU - Hamlet, Arran

AU - Hauck, Katharina

AU - Hinsley, Wes

AU - Imai, Natsuko

AU - Jeffrey, Benjamin

AU - Knock, Edward

AU - Laydon, Daniel J.

AU - Lees, John A.

AU - Mangal, Tara

AU - Mellan, Thomas A.

AU - Nedjati-Gilani, Gemma

AU - Parag, Kris V.

AU - Pons-Salort, Margarita

AU - Ragonnet-Cronin, Manon

AU - Riley, Steven

AU - Unwin, H. Juliette T.

AU - Verity, Robert

AU - Vollmer, Michaela A.C.

AU - Volz, Erik

AU - Walker, Patrick G.T.

AU - Walters, Caroline E.

AU - Wang, Haowei

AU - Watson, Oliver J.

AU - Whittaker, Charles

AU - Whittles, Lilith K.

AU - Xi, Xiaoyue

AU - Ferguson, Neil M.

PY - 2021

Y1 - 2021

N2 - In response to the COVID-19 pandemic, countries have sought to control SARS-CoV-2 transmission by restricting population movement through social distancing interventions, thus reducing the number of contacts. Mobility data represent an important proxy measure of social distancing, and here, we characterise the relationship between transmission and mobility for 52 countries around the world. Transmission significantly decreased with the initial reduction in mobility in 73% of the countries analysed, but we found evidence of decoupling of transmission and mobility following the relaxation of strict control measures for 80% of countries. For the majority of countries, mobility explained a substantial proportion of the variation in transmissibility (median adjusted R-squared: 48%, interquartile range - IQR - across countries [27–77%]). Where a change in the relationship occurred, predictive ability decreased after the relaxation; from a median adjusted R-squared of 74% (IQR across countries [49–91%]) pre-relaxation, to a median adjusted R-squared of 30% (IQR across countries [12–48%]) post-relaxation. In countries with a clear relationship between mobility and transmission both before and after strict control measures were relaxed, mobility was associated with lower transmission rates after control measures were relaxed indicating that the beneficial effects of ongoing social distancing behaviours were substantial.

AB - In response to the COVID-19 pandemic, countries have sought to control SARS-CoV-2 transmission by restricting population movement through social distancing interventions, thus reducing the number of contacts. Mobility data represent an important proxy measure of social distancing, and here, we characterise the relationship between transmission and mobility for 52 countries around the world. Transmission significantly decreased with the initial reduction in mobility in 73% of the countries analysed, but we found evidence of decoupling of transmission and mobility following the relaxation of strict control measures for 80% of countries. For the majority of countries, mobility explained a substantial proportion of the variation in transmissibility (median adjusted R-squared: 48%, interquartile range - IQR - across countries [27–77%]). Where a change in the relationship occurred, predictive ability decreased after the relaxation; from a median adjusted R-squared of 74% (IQR across countries [49–91%]) pre-relaxation, to a median adjusted R-squared of 30% (IQR across countries [12–48%]) post-relaxation. In countries with a clear relationship between mobility and transmission both before and after strict control measures were relaxed, mobility was associated with lower transmission rates after control measures were relaxed indicating that the beneficial effects of ongoing social distancing behaviours were substantial.

U2 - 10.1038/s41467-021-21358-2

DO - 10.1038/s41467-021-21358-2

M3 - Journal article

C2 - 33597546

AN - SCOPUS:85101100328

VL - 12

JO - Nature Communications

JF - Nature Communications

SN - 2041-1723

IS - 1

M1 - 1090

ER -

ID: 385517282