Predicting COVID-19 Incidence Using Wastewater Surveillance Data, Denmark, October 2021-June 2022
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Predicting COVID-19 Incidence Using Wastewater Surveillance Data, Denmark, October 2021-June 2022. / McManus, Oliver; Christiansen, Lasse Engbo; Nauta, Maarten; Krogsgaard, Lene Wulff; Bahrenscheer, Naja Stolberg; von Kappelgaard, Lene; Christiansen, Tobias; Hansen, Mikkel; Hansen, Nicco Claudio; Kähler, Jonas; Rasmussen, Anders; Richter, Stine Raith; Rasmussen, Lasse Dam; Franck, Kristina Træholt; Ethelberg, Steen.
I: Emerging Infectious Diseases, Bind 29, Nr. 8, 2023, s. 1589-1597.Publikation: Bidrag til tidsskrift › Tidsskriftartikel › Forskning › fagfællebedømt
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TY - JOUR
T1 - Predicting COVID-19 Incidence Using Wastewater Surveillance Data, Denmark, October 2021-June 2022
AU - McManus, Oliver
AU - Christiansen, Lasse Engbo
AU - Nauta, Maarten
AU - Krogsgaard, Lene Wulff
AU - Bahrenscheer, Naja Stolberg
AU - von Kappelgaard, Lene
AU - Christiansen, Tobias
AU - Hansen, Mikkel
AU - Hansen, Nicco Claudio
AU - Kähler, Jonas
AU - Rasmussen, Anders
AU - Richter, Stine Raith
AU - Rasmussen, Lasse Dam
AU - Franck, Kristina Træholt
AU - Ethelberg, Steen
N1 - Publisher Copyright: © 2023 Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC). All rights reserved.
PY - 2023
Y1 - 2023
N2 - Analysis of wastewater is used in many settings for surveillance of SARS-CoV-2, but it remains unclear how well wastewater testing results reflect incidence. Denmark has had an extensive wastewater analysis system that conducts 3 weekly tests in ≈200 sites and has 85% population coverage; the country also offers free SARSCoV- 2 PCR tests to all residents. Using time series analysis for modeling, we found that wastewater data, combined with information on circulating variants and the number of human tests performed, closely fitted the incidence curve of persons testing positive. The results were consistent at a regional level and among a subpopulation of frequently tested healthcare personnel. We used wastewater analysis data to estimate incidence after testing was reduced to a minimum after March 2022. These results imply that data from a large-scale wastewater surveillance system can serve as a good proxy for COVID-19 incidence and for epidemic control.
AB - Analysis of wastewater is used in many settings for surveillance of SARS-CoV-2, but it remains unclear how well wastewater testing results reflect incidence. Denmark has had an extensive wastewater analysis system that conducts 3 weekly tests in ≈200 sites and has 85% population coverage; the country also offers free SARSCoV- 2 PCR tests to all residents. Using time series analysis for modeling, we found that wastewater data, combined with information on circulating variants and the number of human tests performed, closely fitted the incidence curve of persons testing positive. The results were consistent at a regional level and among a subpopulation of frequently tested healthcare personnel. We used wastewater analysis data to estimate incidence after testing was reduced to a minimum after March 2022. These results imply that data from a large-scale wastewater surveillance system can serve as a good proxy for COVID-19 incidence and for epidemic control.
U2 - 10.3201/eid2908.221634
DO - 10.3201/eid2908.221634
M3 - Journal article
C2 - 37486168
AN - SCOPUS:85166363814
VL - 29
SP - 1589
EP - 1597
JO - Emerging Infectious Diseases (Online)
JF - Emerging Infectious Diseases (Online)
SN - 1080-6040
IS - 8
ER -
ID: 370567654