One hundred years of influenza A evolution

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Leveraging the simplicity of nucleotide mismatch distributions, we provide an intuitive window into the evolution of the human influenza A ‘nonstructural’ (NS) gene segment. In an analysis suggested by the eminent Danish biologist Freddy B. Christiansen, we illustrate the existence of a continuous genetic “backbone” of influenza A NS sequences, steadily increasing in nucleotide distance to the 1918 root over more than a century. The 2009 influenza A/H1N1 pandemic represents a clear departure from this enduring genetic backbone. Utilizing nucleotide distance maps and phylogenetic analyses, we illustrate remaining uncertainties regarding the origin of the 2009 pandemic, highlighting the complexity of influenza evolution. The NS segment is interesting precisely because it experiences less pervasive positive selection, and departs less strongly from neutral evolution than e.g. the HA antigen. Consequently, sudden deviations from neutral diversification can indicate changes in other genes via the hitchhiking effect. Our approach employs two measures based on nucleotide mismatch counts to analyze the evolutionary dynamics of the NS gene segment. The rooted Hamming map of distances between a reference sequence and all other sequences over time, and the unrooted temporal Hamming distribution which captures the distribution of genotypic distances between simultaneously circulating viruses, thereby revealing patterns of nucleotide diversity and epi-evolutionary dynamics.

OriginalsprogEngelsk
TidsskriftTheoretical Population Biology
Vol/bind159
Sider (fra-til)25-34
Antal sider10
ISSN0040-5809
DOI
StatusUdgivet - 31 jul. 2024

Bibliografisk note

Funding Information:
BFN, CB and VA acknowledge financial support from the Danish National Research Foundation (grant no. DNRF170 ) and from the Carlsberg Foundation under its Semper Ardens programme (grant no. CF20-0046 ). BTG acknowledges financial support from the Flu Lab , The Princeton Catalysis Initiative , and the Schmidt DataX Fund at Princeton University made possible through a major gift from the Schmidt Futures Foundation. BFN furthermore acknowledges financial support in the form of a Carlsberg Foundation Internationalisation Fellowship (grant no. CF23-0173 ).

Publisher Copyright:
© 2024

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