Drivers of forest cover change in Eastern Europe and European Russia, 1985–2012
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Drivers of forest cover change in Eastern Europe and European Russia, 1985–2012. / Alix-Garcia, Jennifer; Munteanu, Catalina; Zhao, Na; Potapov, Peter V.; Prishchepov, Alexander; Radeloff, Volker C.; Krylov, Alexander; Bragina, Eugenia.
I: Land Use Policy, Bind 59, 2016, s. 284-297.Publikation: Bidrag til tidsskrift › Tidsskriftartikel › Forskning › fagfællebedømt
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TY - JOUR
T1 - Drivers of forest cover change in Eastern Europe and European Russia, 1985–2012
AU - Alix-Garcia, Jennifer
AU - Munteanu, Catalina
AU - Zhao, Na
AU - Potapov, Peter V.
AU - Prishchepov, Alexander
AU - Radeloff, Volker C.
AU - Krylov, Alexander
AU - Bragina, Eugenia
PY - 2016
Y1 - 2016
N2 - The relative importance of geography, history, and policy in driving forest cover change at broad scales remains poorly understood. We examine variation in forest cover dynamics over the period 1985–2012 across 19 countries in Eastern Europe and European Russia in order to shed light on the role of these in driving forest cover change after the collapse of socialism. Using a combination of cross-section and panel regression methods, we find that privatization of forest lands increased forest cover loss due to logging, as did increases in agricultural land between 1850 and 1900. Land quality has no power to explain variation in forest loss between countries, nor does trade and price liberalization policy. None of our covariates explain forest regrowth on non-forested land over the period. We conclude that history and land privatization drove important cross-country variation in forest dynamics in the region, but that the majority of forest cover change over the period results from shocks, both political and economic, shared by all countries in the sample. This highlights the importance of broad-scale shocks as drivers of forest change, relative to geographic and policy variability across individual countries.
AB - The relative importance of geography, history, and policy in driving forest cover change at broad scales remains poorly understood. We examine variation in forest cover dynamics over the period 1985–2012 across 19 countries in Eastern Europe and European Russia in order to shed light on the role of these in driving forest cover change after the collapse of socialism. Using a combination of cross-section and panel regression methods, we find that privatization of forest lands increased forest cover loss due to logging, as did increases in agricultural land between 1850 and 1900. Land quality has no power to explain variation in forest loss between countries, nor does trade and price liberalization policy. None of our covariates explain forest regrowth on non-forested land over the period. We conclude that history and land privatization drove important cross-country variation in forest dynamics in the region, but that the majority of forest cover change over the period results from shocks, both political and economic, shared by all countries in the sample. This highlights the importance of broad-scale shocks as drivers of forest change, relative to geographic and policy variability across individual countries.
KW - Cross-country analysis
KW - Eastern Europe
KW - Forest cover change
KW - Satellite data
U2 - 10.1016/j.landusepol.2016.08.014
DO - 10.1016/j.landusepol.2016.08.014
M3 - Journal article
AN - SCOPUS:84987984547
VL - 59
SP - 284
EP - 297
JO - Land Use Policy
JF - Land Use Policy
SN - 0264-8377
ER -
ID: 169624578