Echoes from the Past: A Healthy Baltic Sea Requires More Effort

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  • Aarno T. Kotilainen
  • Laura Arppe
  • Slawomir Dobosz
  • Eystein Jansen
  • Karoline Kabel
  • Juha Karhu
  • Mia M. Kotilainen
  • Antoon Kuijpers
  • Bryan C. Lougheed
  • H. E. Markus Meier
  • Matthias Moros
  • Thomas Neumann
  • Christian Porsche
  • Niels Poulsen
  • Peter Rasmussen
  • Bjørg Risebrobakken
  • Daria Ryabchuk
  • Semjon Schimanke
  • Ian Snowball
  • Mikhail Spiridonov
  • Joonas J. Virtasalo
  • Kaarina Weckström
  • Andrzej Witkowski
  • Vladimir Zhamoida

Integrated sediment multiproxy studies and modeling were used to reconstruct past changes in the Baltic Sea ecosystem. Results of natural changes over the past 6000 years in the Baltic Sea ecosystem suggest that forecasted climate warming might enhance environmental problems of the Baltic Sea. Integrated modeling and sediment proxy studies reveal increased sea surface temperatures and expanded seafloor anoxia (in deep basins) during earlier natural warm climate phases, such as the Medieval Climate Anomaly. Under future IPCC scenarios of global warming, there is likely no improvement of bottom water conditions in the Baltic Sea. Thus, the measures already designed to produce a healthier Baltic Sea are insufficient in the long term. The interactions between climate change and anthropogenic impacts on the Baltic Sea should be considered in management, implementation of policy strategies in the Baltic Sea environmental issues, and adaptation to future climate change.

Original languageEnglish
Book seriesAmbio
Volume43
Issue number1
Pages (from-to)60-68
Number of pages9
ISSN0044-7447
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Feb 2014
Externally publishedYes

Bibliographical note

Funding Information:
This study is part of the INFLOW (The Holocene Saline Water Inflow Changes into the Baltic Sea) project, funded by the European Commission 7th Framework Programme (FP/2007–2013) under Grant agreement No. 217246 made with BONUS, the joint Baltic Sea Research Programme, and by the Academy of Finland. Partners of the project were from—Germany: Leibniz Institute for Baltic Sea Research Warnemünde (IOW); Denmark: Geological Survey of Denmark and Greenland (GEUS); Sweden: Department of Earth and Ecosystem Sciences—Division of Geology, Lund University, and Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute (SMHI); Poland: Faculty of Earth Sciences, Department of Palaeoceanology, University of Szczecin; Norway: Unifob AS, Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research (BCCR); Russia: A. P. Karpinsky Russian Geological Research Institute (VSEGEI); and Finland: GTK and Department of Geosciences and Geography, University of Helsinki. Anonymous reviewers provided very constructive and valuable comments on this manuscript, which are gratefully acknowledged.

    Research areas

  • Baltic Sea, Climate change, Holocene, Inflow, Modeling, Multiproxy analyses

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