Improving the Cost-efficiency of Preventive Chemotherapy: Impact of New Diagnostics on Stopping Decisions for Control of Schistosomiasis

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  • Luc E. Coffeng
  • Matthew Graham
  • Raiha Browning
  • Klodeta Kura
  • Peter J. Diggle
  • Denwood, Matt
  • Graham F. Medley
  • Roy M. Anderson
  • Sake J. de Vlas

Background: Control of schistosomiasis (SCH) relies on the regular distribution of preventive chemotherapy (PC) over many years. For the sake of sustainable SCH control, a decision must be made at some stage to scale down or stop PC. These "stopping decisions"are based on population surveys that assess whether infection levels are sufficiently low. However, the limited sensitivity of the currently used diagnostic (Kato-Katz [KK]) to detect low-intensity infections is a concern. Therefore, the use of new, more sensitive, molecular diagnostics has been proposed. Methods: Through statistical analysis of Schistosoma mansoni egg counts collected from Burundi and a simulation study using an established transmission model for schistosomiasis, we investigated the extent to which more sensitive diagnostics can improve decision making regarding stopping or continuing PC for the control of S. mansoni. Results: We found that KK-based strategies perform reasonably well for determining when to stop PC at a local scale. Use of more sensitive diagnostics leads to a marginally improved health impact (person-years lived with heavy infection) and comes at a cost of continuing PC for longer (up to around 3 years), unless the decision threshold for stopping PC is adapted upward. However, if this threshold is set too high, PC may be stopped prematurely, resulting in a rebound of infection levels and disease burden (+45% person-years of heavy infection). Conclusions: We conclude that the potential value of more sensitive diagnostics lies more in the reduction of survey-related costs than in the direct health impact of improved parasite control.

OriginalsprogEngelsk
TidsskriftClinical Infectious Diseases
Vol/bind78
Udgave nummerSupplement 2
Sider (fra-til)S153-S159
ISSN1058-4838
DOI
StatusUdgivet - 2024

Bibliografisk note

Funding Information:
Financial support. This work was supported by the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation (INV-030046), via the Neglected Tropical Diseases (NTD) Modelling Consortium. K. K. and R. M. A. also acknowledge funding from the Medical Research Council Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis (MR/R015600/1), jointly funded by the UK Medical Research Council (MRC) and the UK Foreign, Commonwealth and Development Office (FCDO), under the MRC/FCDO Concordat agreement, and is also part of the EDCTP2 Programme supported by the European Union.

Funding Information:
Supplement sponsorship. This article appears as part of the supplement \u201CNew Tools and Nuanced Interventions to Accelerate Achievement of 2030 Roadmap for Neglected Tropical Diseases,\u201D sponsored by funding of Professor T. D\u00E9irdre Hollingsworth's research by the Li Ka Shing Foundation at the Big Data Institute, Li Ka Shing Centre for Health Information and Discovery, University of Oxford; and funding of the NTD Modelling Consortium by the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation (INV-030046).

Funding Information:
Potential conflicts of interest. R. M. A. reports funding from Children's Investment Fund Foundation and Leiden Labs, and holds stock with GSK, AstraZeneca, and Pfizer. All other authors report no potential conflicts.

Publisher Copyright:
© 2024 The Author(s). Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of Infectious Diseases Society of America.

ID: 394982937