Adjustment and long-run economic performance in 18 African countries

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  • Fiseha Gebregziabher

This paper investigates the link between IMF-World Bank stabilisation-cum-structural adjustment programs and long-run economic performance in 18 African countries on a country-specific basis for the period 1960-2009. We employ a structural break approach to study the impact on long-run growth trajectories of the introduction of adjustment programs. The analysis reveals that only few countries have shown positive and sustained results. The traditional (first-generation) Fund-Bank adjustment package is linked with sustained increase in Gross Domestic Product, export and investment growth rates only in two countries (Ghana and Uganda). Many African economies remained on their pre-reform growth paths whereas some others experienced growth deceleration, despite more-than-a-decade-long adjustment. Taken as a whole, countries in the CFA franc currency zone fared much worse than their non-CFA counterparts because of the different adjustment strategies pursued.

Original languageEnglish
JournalJournal of International Development
Volume27
Issue number2
Pages (from-to)170-196
Number of pages27
ISSN0954-1748
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 1 Mar 2015

    Research areas

  • Adjustment programs, CFA franc countries, IMF, Multivariate cointegration, Sub-Saharan Africa, World Bank

ID: 160126068